Peak Bull: Fake Economy, And Fake News

It is unsurprising that the ECB is not ignoring further steps in its tapering (or recalibration) process. Phrases [in the minutes] indicate a further adjustment but in our view no abrupt end.

We stick to our previous view that the ECB will not stop QE in September but will rather decide on another “lower for longer” beyond September, probably until the end of the year. Interestingly, the ECB is more and more focusing on growth and seems to regard inflation only as a derivative of growth developments. Judging from previous experiences, to get an inflation rate sustainably at around 2%, the Eurozone economy needs to have a positive output gap. This could, but does not necessarily have to, happen in the course of 2018.

It is also obvious that the ECB’s balancing act between uniting the Governing Council and not distorting markets on the rest of the way towards the exit is a difficult one. While the ECB had actually tried to hush speculation with the October decision for “lower for longer”, some ECB officials’ talks are clearly undermining this intention. In this regards, next week should be interesting when both Jens “the hawk” Weidmann and Benoit “first proponent now advocate for a September end” Coeure will have public appearances.

Source : https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2018/jan/11/christmas-tesco-marks-and-spencer-john-lewis-retail-stock-markets

FTSE 100 closes at new peak but Tesco and M&S slump after Christmas updates - as it happened
Daily Digest 1/12 - Good News Friday: Increasing Voter Registration, Blue Sky In Bejing?
Facebook ditches fake news flag, admits it was making things worse
Facebook Stock: News Feed Overhaul Tightens ‘Consumer Mousetrap’
Raasch: Steve Bannon gets the Trump treatment -- and pressing issues are obscured
Peak Civ: Thanks For Hacking
Indonesia Morning News For January 15
Peak Sneaker: Inside Sneaker Con
Obama Says Americans Who Watch Fox News are “Living on a Different Planet”. Yeah. It’s Called Reality.
[LIMITED STOCK!] Related eBay Products